Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.548485 13.307846 15.187278 17.337918 19.724162 22.284029 25.231020
2025-02-16 8.799373 11.005678 13.511927 16.547971 20.103485 24.112469 28.950415
2025-02-23 7.190816 9.646097 12.583088 16.310725 20.868210 26.210120 32.892266
2025-03-02 5.916917 8.466816 11.663725 15.892800 21.260485 27.763428 36.146242
2025-03-09 5.029485 7.635626 11.044803 15.723045 21.856932 29.500805 39.606901
2025-03-16 4.240240 6.820887 10.338022 15.334875 22.087701 30.723462 42.405535
2025-03-23 3.747285 6.350060 10.029042 15.416703 22.889505 32.658118 46.129088
2025-03-30 3.292486 5.874025 9.655319 15.356564 23.461679 34.277001 49.459604
2025-04-06 2.970450 5.557895 9.473396 15.534060 24.341126 36.307646 53.369387
2025-04-13 2.688962 5.270076 9.300671 15.697142 25.185544 38.296530 57.259907
2025-04-20 2.506373 5.121996 9.322657 16.137213 26.428805 40.857761 61.985505
2025-04-27 2.315063 4.935421 9.263608 16.439487 27.468932 43.152231 66.390742
2025-05-04 2.079376 4.645756 9.017522 16.438537 28.061765 44.839380 70.012882
2025-05-11 1.751468 4.143864 8.373831 15.758390 27.583720 44.954229 71.397802
2025-05-18 1.544816 3.845094 8.046764 15.561324 27.824057 46.104805 74.273851
2025-05-25 1.334911 3.510092 7.623954 15.171251 27.732020 46.744703 76.408773
2025-06-01 1.181945 3.271262 7.351580 15.012710 27.990493 47.903338 79.316710
2025-06-08 1.020811 2.990074 6.973142 14.640616 27.876415 48.479280 81.360371
2025-06-15 0.929384 2.852932 6.856578 14.720313 28.500855 50.197508 85.142150
2025-06-22 0.832958 2.689194 6.672237 14.662684 28.886600 51.546856 88.388363
2025-06-29 0.768292 2.593552 6.615854 14.833915 29.660968 53.520407 92.622021
2025-07-06 0.708137 2.500183 6.555390 14.991184 30.412291 55.470870 96.855536
2025-07-13 0.675298 2.474258 6.634358 15.415501 31.638453 58.206577 102.354855